CFM - Scholars And Researchers On Prediction Markets

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Scholars and Researchers who have published on event derivatives (traded bets), prediction markets (event derivative markets) and prediction exchanges (event derivative exchanges) — Updated: 2009-05-08

Michael Abramowicz - Michael B. Abramowicz - (Law School, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.)
Bernd H. Ankenbrand - Bernd Ankenbrand - (Lecturer, Witten/Herdecke University, Germany, E.U.)
James Annan - (Global Environment Modelling Research Program, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Japan)
Werner Antweiler - (UBC Election Stock Market, Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada)
Kenneth J. Arrow - Kenneth Arrow - (Economics Department, Stanford University, California, U.S.A.)
Tom W. Bell - Tom Bell - (Law School, Chapman University, California, U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Joyce E. Berg - Joyce Berg - Profile - (Iowa Electronic Markets, Accounting, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
Richard Borghesi - (Finance, Texas State University at San Marcos, Texas, U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Kay-Yut Chen - (Information Services & Process Innovation Lab, HP Labs, HP, California, U.S.A.)
Yiling Chen - (Harvard School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University - Massachusetts, U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Eric Crampton - (Department of Economics, University of Canterbury, New Zealand)
Ely Dahan - (Marketing, Anderson School, University of California at Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, U.S.A.)
Anita Elberse - (Marketing, Harvard Business School, Harvard University, Massachusetts, U.S.A.)
Robert S. Erikson - Robert Erikson - Profile - (Political Science, Columbia University, New York, U.S.A.)
Dylan Evans - (Computer Science, Cork Constraint Computation, Centre University College Cork, Ireland, E.U.)
Leslie R. Fine - Leslie Fine - (Information Dynamics Lab, HP Labs, California, U.S.A.)
Gary William Flake - Gary W. Flake - Gary Flake - (MicroSoft, U.S.A.)
Robert Forsythe - (Dean, College of Business Administration, University of South Florida, Florida, U.S.A.) — Previously: (Economics, Iowa Electronic Markets, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
Lance Fortnow - Lance J. Fortnow - (Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, McCormick School of Engineering, Northwestern University, Illinois, U.S.A.)
Keith Jacks Gamble - Keith Gamble - (Economics (University of California at Berkeley) - California, U.S.A. — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Michael Giberson - Mike Giberson - (Energy Economist - Center for Energy Commerce, Rawls College of Business, Texas Tech University, Texas, U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Michael Gorham - (IIT Center for Financial Markets, Stuart School of Business, Illinois Institute of Technology, Illinois, U.S.A.) — Previously: (CFTC)
Andreas Graefe - (Institute for Technology Assessment and Systems Analysis, Forschungszentrum, Germany, E.U.)
Thomas S. Gruca - Thomas Gruca - Profile - (Iowa Electronic Markets, Marketing, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
Refet Gurkaynak - (Department of Economics, Bilkent University, Turkey)
Friedrich August Von Hayek — R.I.P. — The market as an information aggregation tool: The Use of Knowledge in Society —
Robert W. Hahn - Robert Hahn - (Executive Director, Reg-Markets Center, American Enterprise Institute, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
James D. Hamilton - James Hamilton - (Department of Economics, University of California at San Diego - California, U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Robin Hanson - Robin D. Hanson - (Economics, James M. Buchanan Center, George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
M. Todd Henderson - (Law School, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.)
Chris Hibbert - (Software Architect, Zocalo Project Manager, California, U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Charles Holt - Charles A. Holt - (Department of Economics, University of Virginia, Virginia, U.S.A.)
Bernardo A. Huberman - Bernardo Huberman - (Social Computing Lab, HP Labs, California, U.S.A.)
Eiichiro Kazumori - (Computer Science, Trier University, Germany, E.U.)
Frédéric Koessler - (Economics, Centre Nationale de la Recherche Scientifique, France, E.U.)
Todd Kuethe -
Anthony M. Kwasnica - Anthony Kwasnica - (Business Economics, Department of Insurance and Real Estate, Smeal College of Business Administration, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, U.S.A.)
Nicolas Lambert - (Department of Computer Science, Stanford University, California, U.S.A.)
David S. Lee - (Economics and Public Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, U.S.A.)
John O. Ledyard - John Ledyard - (Economics and and Social Sciences, Division of Humanity and Social Sciences, California Institute of Technology, California, U.S.A.)
Andrew Leigh - (Economics, Research School of Social Sciences, Australian National University, Australia)
Steven Levitt - Steve Levitt - Steven D. Levitt - (Economics, Director of the Becker Center on Chicago Price Theory, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.)
Saul Levmore - (Law School, University of Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.)
Robert E. Litan - Robert Litan - (Vice President for Research and Policy, Kauffman Foundation, Kansas City, Missouri, U.S.A.)
Thomas W. Malone - Thomas Malone - Tom Malone - (MIT Center for Collective Intelligence, Management, MIT Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Massachusetts, U.S.A.)
Charles F. Manski - Charles Manski - (College of Arts and Sciences, Norwestern University, Illinois, U.S.A.)
Adam Meirowitz - (Department of Politics, Princeton University, New Jersey, U.S.A.)
Paul Milgrom - (Department of Economics, Stanford University, California, U.S.A.)
Hajime Mizuyama -
Enrico Moretti - (Department of Economics, University of California at Berkley, Berkley, California, U.S.A.)
Tracy Mullen - (Information Sciences and Technology, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, U.S.A.)
Forrest Nelson - Profile - (Iowa Electronic Markets, Economics, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
George R. Neumann - George Neumann - Profile - (Iowa Electronic Markets, Economics, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
Ryan Oprea - Profile - (Director of the LEEPS laboratory, Economics, University of California at Santa Cruz, California, U.S.A.)
Gerhard Ortner - (University of Applied Sciences, Austria, E.U.)
Marco Ottaviani - (Management and Strategy, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, Illinois, U.S.A.) - Formerly: (Economics Department, London Business School, United Kingdom, E.U.)
Abe Othman -
David Paton - (Industrial Economics, Business School, Nottingham University, United Kingdom, E.U.)
David M. Pennock - David Pennock - (Principal Research Scientist, Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Yahoo! Research Labs, New York, U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Charles R. Plott - Charles Plott - (Economics and and Social Sciences, Division of Humanity and Social Sciences, California Institute of Technology, California, U.S.A.)
David Porter - (Economics and Finance, Chapman University, California, U.S.A.)
Todd Proebsting - Todd A. Proebsting - (Microsoft & University of Arizona, U.S.A.)
Russ Ray - (Finance, College of Business, University of Louisville, Kentucky, U.S.A.)
Daniel Reeves - (Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Yahoo! Research Labs, New York, U.S.A.)
Paul W. Rhode - Paul Rhode - (US Economic History, College of Management, The University of Arizona, Arizona, U.S.A.) - Formerly: (University of North Carolina, North Carolina, U.S.A.)
Thomas A. Rietz - Thomas Rietz - Profile - (Iowa Electronic Markets, Finance, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
Richard Roll - (University of California at Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, U.S.A.)
Thomas W. Ross - Thomas Ross - (UBC Election Stock Market, Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada)
Rahul Sami - (School of Information, University of Michigan, Michigan, U.S.A.)
Sam L. Savage - Sam Savage - (Consulting Professor, Stanford U., California, U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Thomas C. Schelling - Thomas Schelling - (Economics, School of Public Affair, University of Maryland, Maryland, U.S.A.)
Emile Servan-Schreiber - (NewsFutures, New York City, New York, U.S.A. & Paris, France, E.U.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Robert J. Shiller - Robert Shiller - Profile - (Economics, Yale University, Connecticut, U.S.A.)
Bernd Skiera - (Electronic Commerce, Goethe University, Germany, E.U.)
Vernon L. Smith - Vernon Smith - (Economics, Economic Science Institute, Chapman University, California, U.S.A.)
Erik Snowberg - (Economics and Political Science, California Institute of Technology, California, U.S.A.)
Peter Norman Sorensen - (Finance, Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen, Denmark, E.U.)
Martin Spann - (Marketing and Innovation, University of Passau, Germany, E.U.)
Stefan Stathel -
Koleman Strumpf - Koleman S. Strumpf - (Economics, School of Business, University of Kansas, Kansas, U.S.A.) - Formerly: University of North Carolina, North Carolina, U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Cass Sunstein - Cass R. Sunstein - (Law School, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.)
James Surowiecki - (The Wisdom Of Crowds) - (New York, U.S.A.)
Paul C. Tetlock - Paul Tetlock - (Finance, Columbia University, New York, U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Philip Tetlock - Philip E. Tetlock - (Leadership, University of California at Berkeley, California, U.S.A.)
Dorina Tila - (Economics, George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.)
George Tziralis (Industrial Management and Operational Research Sector, Mechanical Engineering School, National Technical University of Athens, Greece, E.U.)
Hal R. Varian - Hal Varian - (Chief Economist, Google, California, U.S.A.) — Formerly: (Haas School of Business, Department of Economics, University of California at Berkeley, California, U.S.A.)
Leighton Vaughan-Williams - (Economics and Finance, Business School, Nottingham Trent University, United Kingdom, E.U.)
Michael Wellman - Michael P. Wellman - (Computer Science and Engineering, University of Michigan, Michigan, U.S.A.)
Christopher Wlezien - (Department of Political Science, Temple University, Pennsylvania, U.S.A.)
Justin Wolfers - Justin J. Wolfers - (Business and Public Policy, Wharton Business School, University of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, U.S.A.) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle
Eric Zitzewitz - Eric W. Zitzewitz - (Economics, Dartmouth College, Massachusetts, USA) — Post Archive at Midas Oracle

More Information

Disambiguation

The Products
- traded bets; traded predictions; event derivatives; event-driven derivatives; event derivative contracts; information derivatives; information derivative contracts.
The Markets
- bet markets; betting markets; event derivative markets; information derivative markets; prediction markets.
The Exchanges
- bet exchanges; betting exchanges; event derivative exchanges; information derivative exchanges; prediction exchanges.
The Technology
- market-based technology; trading engine; trading technology.
Other Terms
- binaries; binary, European call options; European binary options; binary event options; event futures; event-driven futures; idea futures; information futures.
Inappropriate Terms
- event markets; idea markets; information markets; opinion markets; predictive markets.
Sub-Categories of Prediction Markets
1. Decision markets are conditional prediction markets intended (by some idealists) to be used as a decision-making tool replacing human decision makers;
2. Decision-aid markets are conditional prediction markets intended to be used as a decision-aid tool advising human decision makers.

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