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Presentations — Presentations on event derivatives (traded bets), prediction markets (event derivative markets) and prediction exchanges (event derivative exchanges) — Updated: 2008-06-12

Prediction & Decision Markets - (PPT file) - by Robin Hanson - 2008-04-17

Conference on Corporate Applications of Prediction/Information Markets (1 November 2007), Kansas City, Missouri, USA - 2007-11-05
Henry Berg, Microsoft <slides>
Discussant: Robin Hanson (George Mason Department of Economics) <slides>
Christina Ann LaComb, GE (The Imagination Market; abstract is free, text is gated) <slides>
Discussant: Marco Ottaviani (Kellogg School of Management, Management and Strategy) <slides>
Dawn Keller, Best Buy (Best Buy’s TAGTRADE Market) <slides>
Bo Cowgill, Google (Putting Crowd Wisdom to Work) <slides>
Jim Lavoie, Co-Founder and CEO, Rite-Solutions <slides>
David Perry, Co-Founder and President, Consensus Point <slides>
Mat Fogarty, Founder and CEO, Xpree Inc <slides>
Tom W. Bell, Chapman University School of Law <slides>

Private Prediction Markets’ Legality Under U.S. Law - (PPT file) - by Tom W. Bell - 2007-10-31

Intro to Prediction Markets - (PPT file) - by Robin Hanson - 2007-09-24

Intro to Prediction Markets - (PPT file) - by Robin Hanson - 2007-09-05

Using Futures Markets in Public Policy Formation - [Decision markets for governments] - (PPT file) - by Robin Hanson - 2007-08-22

Manipulators Increase Prediction Market Accuracy - (PPT file) - by Robin Hanson and Ryan Oprea - 2007-08-16

Modular Information Aggregation with Combinatorial Prediction Markets - [Market Scoring Rules - MSR] - (PPT file) - by Robin Hanson - 2007-06-06

Combinatorial Market Scoring Rules - (PPT file) - by Robin Hanson - 2007-06-05

The Corporate Crossroads: Morale Markets Versus Decision Markets - (PPT) - by Robin Hanson - 2007-01-XX

Moe Information

Meetings — Lectures, workshops, seminars, summits, conferences, colloquiums, and conventions on prediction markets

Disambiguation

The Products
- traded bets; traded predictions; event derivatives; event-driven derivatives; event derivative contracts; information derivatives; information derivative contracts.
The Markets
- bet markets; betting markets; event derivative markets; information derivative markets; prediction markets.
The Exchanges
- bet exchanges; betting exchanges; event derivative exchanges; information derivative exchanges; prediction exchanges.
The Technology
- market-based technology; trading engine; trading technology.
Other Terms
- binaries; binary, European call options; European binary options; binary event options; event futures; event-driven futures; idea futures; information futures.
Inappropriate Terms
- event markets; idea markets; information markets; opinion markets; predictive markets.
Sub-Categories of Prediction Markets
1. Decision markets are conditional prediction markets intended (by some idealists) to be used as a decision-making tool replacing human decision makers;
2. Decision-aid markets are conditional prediction markets intended to be used as a decision-aid tool advising human decision makers.

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