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News articles reporting on event derivatives (traded bets), prediction markets (event derivative markets) and prediction exchanges (event derivative exchanges) — Updated: 2009-05-08


New financial exchange trades Washington policies as commodities. [about the American Civics Exchange] - by The Hill - 2009-03-24

Betting on Ideas - Advanced computational models are enabling researchers to create increasingly sophisticated prediction markets. - by Communications of the ACM - 2009-03-19

Lights! Camera! Futures trading! - [Cantor Exchange] - by Investment News - 2009-03-19

An uncertain future - A novel way of generating forecasts has yet to take off. - by The Economist - 2009-02-26

The Super Bowl 2009 as seen by the BetFair prediction markets - [More] - by NYT blog - 2009-02-01

The Intrade bettors expected Mr. Obama to end up with 364 votes in the Electoral College —one less than he actually got. - [More] - by John Tierney and Chris Masse - 2009-11-24

An interview with InTrade’s Chad Rigetti and John Delaney - 2008-11-xx

How Companies Are Using IT To Spot Innovative Ideas - (3 pages) - by Information Week’s David Greenfield - 2008-11-10

Who's Leading Whom? Predictive Markets Versus Polls - by Michael Drumheller, Dirk Karis, Raif Majeed and Robert Morton - 2008-10-22

Trading Variance in Election Predictions Raises Questions, - by New York Times - 2008-10-19

An institutional investor is hedging on InTrade's uS political election prediction markets - by John Delaney - 2008-10-16

A century ago, Wall Street treated elections like they were pork bellies—and newspaper went along. - [about the historical prediction markets] - by Jack Shafer - 2008-09-26

BetFair impose new “Premium Charges”, and their very active traders are up in arms. - 2008-09-09

Prediction markets: the future of decision-making - Companies are now making business decisions based on information employees provide via internal trading systems. - by The Tines of London - 2008-09-04

How do InTrade’s prediction markets work, and are they really accurate? - by CNBC - 2008-08-25

Prediction Markets: Wisdom Of The Crowd Comes To The Enterprise. - (MO mirror soon) - by Forrester - 2008-07-14

BetFair implements a brand-new bet-matching logic. - (MO mirror) - 2008-07-14

Regulation Looms for Prediction Markets. - The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is likely to become involved in regulating event futures—and it just may boost these markets. - by BusinessWeek - 2008-07-07

The CFTC close comments on the regulation of "event markets" (prediction markets). - (PDF file) - (MO mirror) - 2008-07-07

Software taps into the zeitgeist to predict the future. - 2008-05-27

Prediction Market prices can point to a sure thing. - by Financial Times' John Authers - 2008-05-17

BetFair Puts Focus on the Fix in Sports Bets. - by New York Times' Joe Drape - 2008-05-15

Prediction Markets: Co-Creating An Organization's Future - (PDF file) - by Inside Knowledge Magazine's Victoria Axelrod and Jenny Ambrozek - 2008-05-10

Foretelling The Future: Online Prediction Markets - (video) - by ABC 20/20's John Stossel and Maxim Lott - 2008-05-09

Betting to Improve the Odds - by New York Times' Steve Lohr - 2008-04-09

How the US Federal Reserve and the US Treasury will try to apply the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006 - 2008-04-02

The Promise Of Prediction Markets - by McKinsey - 2008-04-XX

BetFair withdraws / improves its brand-new matching-bet logic. - 2008-03-19

Prediction market platform taps the wisdom of employees, partners, customers - 2008-03-01

When Markets Beat The Polls - Scientific American Magazine - 2008-03-XX

BetFair Starting Price - 2008-02-XX

Best Bet for Next President: Prediction Markets - Prediction markets can cut through the clutter of polls and pundits. - by Justin Wolfers - 2007-12-31

Mob wisdom means business - So-called 'crowdsourcing' lets companies create massive focus groups, garner fresh ideas, and even predict the future. - by InfoWorld - 2007-12-10

YouBet - The wonders and dangers of online sports wagering. - (page 2) - [BetFair explained to the Americans] - by Slate's T.D. Thornton - 2007-11-28

The future of futurology = The prediction markets - The Economist - 2007-11-XX

The details on BetFair’s Starting Prices - by BetFair's Stephen Burn - [MO mirror] - 2007-11-22

IG Group Holdings’ 6$m rationale for buying HedgeStreet - [MO mirror] - 2007-11-20

FlyWheel = BetFair’s advanced trading engine - [MO mirror - MO mirror] - 2007-11-15

New SP system wins approval of high rollers - [The BetFair Starting Prices… explained in The Guardian.] - 2007-11-13

BetFair Australia is a low-margin betting operator that helps horse racing compete against the other gambling products. - 2007-11-07

How does a betting exchange work? - [about the Fallon case] - 2007-10-08

Hollywood Ending - [republished for free with permission on Midas Oracle] - by Trader Daily's Robert LaFranco - 2007-10-04

Bet on It! - by Spectrum Magazine - 2007-09-01

Ask The Market - Companies are leading the way in the use of prediction markets. The public sector may soon follow. - (PDF) - by Region Focus’ Vanessa Sumo - 2007-07-20

INTEL BUSINESS CASE: INTERNAL PREDICTION MARKETS DO WORK. - 2007-07-16

A Q&A With Intrade's John Delaney - by Freakonomics - 2007-07-05

The Science of Success - [Media Predict] - The New Yorker's James Surowiecki - 2007-07-09

Economic Derivatives is dead. - WSJ blog - 2007-06-29

When enough people take a stake in the future, it's like a crystal ball. - (page two) - (republished) - by The Associated Press - 2007-06-23

The Science Behind PPX - What’s the most accurate way to forecast the future? Simple: make predictions profitable—just like on the PopSci Predictions Exchange. - by Popular Science magazine's Michael Moyer - 2007-06-15

Prediction markets for business and public policy (PDF file). - by Justin Wolfers and Andrew Leigh - 2007-06-08

TradeSports takes a Caribbean cruise. - 2007-06-06

With a prediction market, everyone brings a small piece of information to the table, and the consensus proves surprisingly accurate. - [The American on Justin Wolfers] - 2007-05-25

US DOJ searches financial records for traces of Internet gambling and betting. - 2007-05-12

Rolling In The (Virtual) Dough - The Hollywood Stock Exchange Is Played By Gamers And Movie Lovers Alike - 2007-05-11

Adam Siegel of Inkling Markets interviewed by the Chicago Sun-Times - 2007-04-30

Slate's explainer on the legality (and illegality) of the prediction markets in the US. - 2007-04-27

Gambling Regulation & Enforcement Act 2007 - 2007-04-27

USFE’s letter to the US CFTC - Binary Event Derivatives - 2007-03-22


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