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Analysts extracting wisdom from public prediction markets — Updated: 2008-06-23

Richard Borghesi - (Texas State University, Texas, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Keith Gamble - (University of California at Berkeley, California, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Michael Giberson - (Texas State University, Texas, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Chris Masse - (Sophia-Antipolis, France, E.U.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
HSX Research - (L.A., California, U.S.A.) — Movie prediction markets
Jason Ruspini - (New York, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Justin Wolfers - (Wharton Business School, University of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Eric Zitzewitz - (Dartmouth College, Massassuchetts, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle

More Information

"Data Analysis" post category at the Midas Oracle blog
"Authors" page at the Midas Oracle blog
"Network" page at the Midas Oracle blog
Prediction Market Event Studies - (Eric Zitzewitz's work on prediction market analysis of the financial markets)
Prediction Markets for the CFO - by Eric Zitzewitz - 2006-12-13

Disambiguation

The Products
- traded bets; traded predictions; event derivatives; event-driven derivatives; event derivative contracts; information derivatives; information derivative contracts.
The Markets
- bet markets; betting markets; event derivative markets; information derivative markets; prediction markets.
The Exchanges
- bet exchanges; betting exchanges; event derivative exchanges; information derivative exchanges; prediction exchanges.
The Technology
- market-based technology; trading engine; trading technology.
Other Terms
- binaries; binary, European call options; European binary options; binary event options; event futures; event-driven futures; idea futures; information futures.
Inappropriate Terms
- event markets; idea markets; information markets; opinion markets; predictive markets.
Sub-Categories of Prediction Markets
1. Decision markets are conditional prediction markets intended (by some idealists) to be used as a decision-making tool replacing human decision makers;
2. Decision-aid markets are conditional prediction markets intended to be used as a decision-aid tool advising human decision makers.

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